Population-Based Evaluation of Vaccine Effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 Infection, Severe Illness, and Death, Taiwan.

Taiwan provided several COVID-19 vaccine platforms: mRNA (BNT162b2, mRNA-1273), adenoviral vector-based (AZD1222), and protein subunit (MVC-COV1901). After Taiwan shifted from its zero-COVID strategy in April 2022, population-based evaluation of vaccine effectiveness (VE) became possible. We conducted an observational cohort study of 21,416,151 persons to examine VE against SARS-CoV-2 infection, moderate and severe illness, and death during March 22, 2021-September 30, 2022. After adjusting for age and sex, we found that persons who completed 3 vaccine doses (2 primary, 1 booster) or received MVC-COV1901 as the primary series had the lowest hospitalization incidence (0.04-0.20 cases/100,000 person-days). We also found 95.8% VE against hospitalization for 3 doses of BNT162b2, 91.0% for MVC-COV1901, 81.8% for mRNA-1273, and 65.7% for AZD1222, which had the lowest overall VE. Our findings indicated that protein subunit vaccines provide similar protection against SARS-CoV-2---associated hospitalization as mRNA vaccines and can inform mix-and-match vaccine selection in other countries.

Factors Influencing the Effectiveness of Adopting Electronic Medical Record-Based Reporting Systems for Notifiable Disease Surveillance: A Quantitative Analysis.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to greater attention being given to infectious disease surveillance systems and their notification functionalities. Although numerous studies have explored the benefits of integrating functionalities with electronic medical record (EMR) systems, empirical studies on the topic are rare. The current study assessed which factors influence the effectiveness of EMR-based reporting systems (EMR-RSs) for notifiable disease surveillance. This study interviewed staff from hospitals with a coverage that represented 51.39% of the notifiable disease reporting volume in Taiwan. Exact logistic regression was employed to determine which factors influenced the effectiveness of Taiwan's EMR-RS. The results revealed that the influential factors included hospitals' early participation in the EMR-RS project, frequent consultation with the information technology (IT) provider of the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control (TWCDC), and retrieval of data from at least one internal database. They also revealed that using an EMR-RS resulted in more timely, accurate, and convenient reporting in hospitals. In addition, developing by an internal IT unit instead of outsourcing EMR-RS development led to more accurate and convenient reporting. Automatically loading the required data enhanced the convenience, and designing input fields that may be unavailable in current databases to enable physicians to add data to legacy databases also boosted effectiveness of the reporting system.

Acute reactions after a homologous primary COVID-19 vaccination series: Analysis of Taiwan V-Watch data.

INTRODUCTION: The ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (ChAd), mRNA-1273 (m1273), MVC-COV1901 (MVC), and BNT162b2 (BNT) COVID-19 vaccines received authorization for emergency use in Taiwan beginning in February 2021. We investigated acute reactions to homologous primary COVID-19 vaccination series in adults aged ≥ 18 years. METHODS: In this prospective observational study based on smartphone data (Taiwan V-Watch), we calculated the frequencies of self-reported local and systemic acute reactions within 7 days of a COVID-19 vaccination, and the health effects up to 3 weeks after each dose. Those who reported adverse reactions after both doses were assessed by the McNemar test. RESULTS: During 22 March 2021-13 December 2021, 77,468 adults were enrolled; 59.0 % were female and 77.8 % were aged 18-49 years. For both doses of all four vaccines, the local and systemic reactions were minor in severity and highest on days 1 and 2 after vaccination, and declined markedly until day 7. For 65,367 participants who provided data after the first and second doses, systemic reactions were more frequent after dose 2 of the BNT and m1273 vaccines (McNemar tests: both p < 0.001), while local reactions were more frequent after dose 2 of the m1273 and MVC vaccines (both p < 0.001), compared with dose 1 of the homologous vaccine. Among the participants aged 18-49 years, the percentage who missed work on the day after vaccination was slightly higher among women (9.3 %) than among men (7.0 %). CONCLUSIONS: Acute reactogenicity and impact of work absenteeism for the four COVID vaccines in the V-Watch survey were mild and of short duration.

Risk of myocarditis and pericarditis following coronavirus disease 2019 messenger RNA Vaccination-A nationwide study.

BACKGROUND: An extended interval between the two primary doses may reduce the risk of myocarditis/pericarditis after COVID-19 mRNA vaccination. Taiwan has implemented a two-dose regimen with a 12-week interval for adolescents. Here we present nationwide data of myocarditis/pericarditis following COVID-19 vaccinations. METHODS: Data on adverse events of myocarditis/pericarditis were from the Taiwan Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System between March 22, 2021, and February 9, 2022. The reporting rates according to sex, age, and vaccine type were calculated. We investigated the rates among young individuals under different two-dose intervals and among those who received two doses of different vaccines. RESULTS: Among 204 cases who met the case definition of myocarditis/pericarditis, 75 cases occurred after the first dose and 129 after the second. The rate of myocarditis/pericarditis after COVID-19 vaccination varied across sex and age groups and was highest after the second dose in males aged 12-17 years (126.79 cases per million vaccinees) for the BNT162b2 vaccine and in males aged 18-24 years (93.84 cases per million vaccinees) for the mRNA-1273 vaccine. The data did not suggest an association between longer between-dose interval and lower rate of myocarditis/pericarditis among males and females aged 18-24 or 25-29 years who received two doses of the BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 vaccine. Rates of myocarditis/pericarditis in males and females aged 18-49 years after receiving ChAdOx1-S - mRNA-1273 vaccination was significantly higher than after ChAdOx1-S - ChAdOx1-S vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Myocarditis and pericarditis are rare following mRNA vaccination, with higher risk occurring in young males after the second dose.

Influenza vaccination is associated with a reduced risk of invasive aspergillosis in high-risk individuals in Taiwan: a population-based cohort study.

Invasive aspergillosis (IA) has become the emerging life-threatening disease in recent years. Influenza has been identified as an independent risk factor for IA. Vaccination is the most effective way to prevent influenza, while whether it can reduce IA in high-risk population still uncertain. We aimed to investigate the association between influenza vaccination and the risk of IA in high-risk population. We performed a population-based cohort study of people who qualified for government-funded influenza vaccination and were at high risk for IA at the start of the influenza season each year between 2016 and 2019. We utilized Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database to identify the influenza vaccination status and IA diagnosis during the follow-up period. We compared the risk of IA between people with and without vaccination using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Out of total 8,544,451 people who were eligible during the 3 influenza seasons, 3,136,477 (36.7%) were vaccinated. A total of 1179 IA cases with the incidence of 13.8 cases per 100,000 high-risk individuals were identified during the follow-up. Compared to non-vaccinated group, vaccinated individuals had a 21% risk reduction of IA (adjusted odds ratio 0.79, 95% confidence interval 0.70-0.90). Influenza vaccination was associated with a lower risk of IA among males, immunosuppressive conditions, malignancy, diabetes, and those having host factors according to the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer and the Mycoses Study Group Education and Research Consortium. Influenza vaccination is recommended for high-risk population to reduce the risk of IA.

Applying Machine Learning Models with An Ensemble Approach for Accurate Real-Time Influenza Forecasting in Taiwan: Development and Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: Changeful seasonal influenza activity in subtropical areas such as Taiwan causes problems in epidemic preparedness. The Taiwan Centers for Disease Control has maintained real-time national influenza surveillance systems since 2004. Except for timely monitoring, epidemic forecasting using the national influenza surveillance data can provide pivotal information for public health response. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop predictive models using machine learning to provide real-time influenza-like illness forecasts. METHODS: Using surveillance data of influenza-like illness visits from emergency departments (from the Real-Time Outbreak and Disease Surveillance System), outpatient departments (from the National Health Insurance database), and the records of patients with severe influenza with complications (from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System), we developed 4 machine learning models (autoregressive integrated moving average, random forest, support vector regression, and extreme gradient boosting) to produce weekly influenza-like illness predictions for a given week and 3 subsequent weeks. We established a framework of the machine learning models and used an ensemble approach called stacking to integrate these predictions. We trained the models using historical data from 2008-2014. We evaluated their predictive ability during 2015-2017 for each of the 4-week time periods using Pearson correlation, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and hit rate of trend prediction. A dashboard website was built to visualize the forecasts, and the results of real-world implementation of this forecasting framework in 2018 were evaluated using the same metrics. RESULTS: All models could accurately predict the timing and magnitudes of the seasonal peaks in the then-current week (nowcast) (ρ=0.802-0.965; MAPE: 5.2%-9.2%; hit rate: 0.577-0.756), 1-week (ρ=0.803-0.918; MAPE: 8.3%-11.8%; hit rate: 0.643-0.747), 2-week (ρ=0.783-0.867; MAPE: 10.1%-15.3%; hit rate: 0.669-0.734), and 3-week forecasts (ρ=0.676-0.801; MAPE: 12.0%-18.9%; hit rate: 0.643-0.786), especially the ensemble model. In real-world implementation in 2018, the forecasting performance was still accurate in nowcasts (ρ=0.875-0.969; MAPE: 5.3%-8.0%; hit rate: 0.582-0.782) and remained satisfactory in 3-week forecasts (ρ=0.721-0.908; MAPE: 7.6%-13.5%; hit rate: 0.596-0.904). CONCLUSIONS: This machine learning and ensemble approach can make accurate, real-time influenza-like illness forecasts for a 4-week period, and thus, facilitate decision making.

Assessment of Expert-Level Automated Detection of Plasmodium falciparum in Digitized Thin Blood Smear Images.

Importance: Decades of effort have been devoted to establishing an automated microscopic diagnosis of malaria, but there are challenges in achieving expert-level performance in real-world clinical settings because publicly available annotated data for benchmark and validation are required. Objective: To assess an expert-level malaria detection algorithm using a publicly available benchmark image data set. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this diagnostic study, clinically validated malaria image data sets, the Taiwan Images for Malaria Eradication (TIME), were created by digitizing thin blood smears acquired from patients with malaria selected from the biobank of the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control from January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2018. These smear images were annotated by 4 clinical laboratory scientists who worked in medical centers in Taiwan and trained for malaria microscopic diagnosis at the national reference laboratory of the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control. With TIME, a convolutional neural network-based object detection algorithm was developed for identification of malaria-infected red blood cells. A diagnostic challenge using another independent data set within TIME was performed to compare the algorithm performance against that of human experts as clinical validation. Main Outcomes and Measures: Performance on detecting Plasmodium falciparum-infected blood cells was measured by average precision, and performance on detecting P falciparum infection at the image level was measured using sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: The TIME data sets contained 8145 images of 36 blood smears from patients with suspected malaria (30 P falciparum-positive and 6 P falciparum-negative smears) that had reliable annotations. For clinical validation, the average precision was 0.885 for detecting P falciparum-infected blood cells and 0.838 for ring form. For detecting P falciparum infection on blood smear images, the algorithm had expert-level performance (sensitivity, 0.995; specificity, 0.900; AUC, 0.997 [95% CI, 0.993-0.999]), especially in detecting ring form (sensitivity, 0.968; specificity, 0.960; AUC, 0.995 [95% CI, 0.990-0.998]) compared with experienced microscopists (mean sensitivity, 0.995 [95% CI, 0.993-0.998]; mean specificity, 0.955 [95% CI, 0.885-1.000]). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings suggest that a clinically validated expert-level malaria detection algorithm can be developed by using reliable data sets.

Balancing geo-privacy and spatial patterns in epidemiological studies.

To balance the protection of geo-privacy and the accuracy of spatial patterns, we developed a geo-spatial tool (GeoMasker) intended to mask the residential locations of patients or cases in a geographic information system (GIS). To elucidate the effects of geo-masking parameters, we applied 2010 dengue epidemic data from Taiwan testing the tool's performance in an empirical situation. The similarity of pre- and post-spatial patterns was measured by D statistics under a 95% confidence interval. In the empirical study, different magnitudes of anonymisation (estimated Kanonymity ≥10 and 100) were achieved and different degrees of agreement on the pre- and post-patterns were evaluated. The application is beneficial for public health workers and researchers when processing data with individuals' spatial information.

Toward Automatic Reporting of Infectious Diseases.

Accurate, complete, and timely disease surveillance data are vital for disease control. We report a national scale effort to automatically extract information from electronic medical records as well as electronic laboratory systems. The extracted information is then transferred to the centers of disease control after a proper confirmation process. The coverage rates of the automated reporting systems are over 50%. Not only is the workload of surveillance greatly reduced, but also reporting is completed in near real-time. From our experiences, a system sustainable strategy, well-defined working plan, and multifaceted team coordination work effectively. Knowledge management reduces the cost to maintain the system. Training courses with hands-on practice and reference documents are useful for LOINC adoption.

Region-wide synchrony and traveling waves of dengue across eight countries in Southeast Asia.

Dengue is a mosquito-transmitted virus infection that causes epidemics of febrile illness and hemorrhagic fever across the tropics and subtropics worldwide. Annual epidemics are commonly observed, but there is substantial spatiotemporal heterogeneity in intensity. A better understanding of this heterogeneity in dengue transmission could lead to improved epidemic prediction and disease control. Time series decomposition methods enable the isolation and study of temporal epidemic dynamics with a specific periodicity (e.g., annual cycles related to climatic drivers and multiannual cycles caused by dynamics in population immunity). We collected and analyzed up to 18 y of monthly dengue surveillance reports on a total of 3.5 million reported dengue cases from 273 provinces in eight countries in Southeast Asia, covering ∼ 10(7) km(2). We detected strong patterns of synchronous dengue transmission across the entire region, most markedly during a period of high incidence in 1997-1998, which was followed by a period of extremely low incidence in 2001-2002. This synchrony in dengue incidence coincided with elevated temperatures throughout the region in 1997-1998 and the strongest El Niño episode of the century. Multiannual dengue cycles (2-5 y) were highly coherent with the Oceanic Niño Index, and synchrony of these cycles increased with temperature. We also detected localized traveling waves of multiannual dengue epidemic cycles in Thailand, Laos, and the Philippines that were dependent on temperature. This study reveals forcing mechanisms that drive synchronization of dengue epidemics on a continental scale across Southeast Asia.

National Trend and Characteristics of Acute Hepatitis C among HIV-Infected Individuals: A Matched Case-Control Study-Taiwan, 2001-2014.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has been increasingly recognized among HIV-infected men who have sex with men (MSM) worldwide. We investigated the trend of and factors associated with acute hepatitis C (AHC) among HIV-infected individuals in Taiwan. METHODS: The National Disease Surveillance System collects characteristics of AHC, HIV, syphilis, and gonorrhea cases through mandatory reports and patient interviews. Reported AHC patients in 2014 were interviewed additionally on sexual and parenteral exposures. Information on HCV genotypes were collected from the largest medical center serving HIV-infected Taiwanese. We defined an HIV/AHC case as a documented negative HCV antibody test result followed within 12 months by a positive test in a previously reported HIV-infected individual. Each case was matched to two HIV-infected, non-AHC controls for age, age of HIV diagnosis, sex, transmission route, HIV diagnosis date, and county/city. Conditional logistic regression was used to identify associated characteristics. RESULTS: During 2001-2014, 93 of 6,624 AHC reports were HIV/AHC cases; the annual case count increased from one in 2009 to 34 in 2014. All were males (81 [87%] MSM) aged 21-49 years with AHC diagnosed 2-5,923 days after HIV diagnoses. Sixty-eight (73%) lived in the Taipei metropolitan area. Detected HCV genotypes were 2a (n = 6), 1b (n = 5), 1b + 2a (n = 1) and 2b (n = 1). Among 28 HIV/AHC patients interviewed in 2014, 13 (46%) reported engaging in unprotected sex ≤3 months before AHC diagnosis. Seventy-nine HIV/AHC cases were matched to 158 controls. HIV/AHC was associated with recent syphilis (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 10.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.2-28.6) and last syphilis >6 months (aOR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.2-6.9). CONCLUSIONS: HIV/AHC cases continued to increase particularly among sexually active HIV-infected MSM with a syphilis diagnosis in northern Taiwan. We recommend surveillance of associated behavioral and virologic characteristics and HCV counseling and testing for HIV-infected men in Taiwan.

Public Health Responses to Reemergence of Animal Rabies, Taiwan, July 16-December 28, 2013.

Taiwan had been free of indigenous human and animal rabies case since canine rabies was eliminated in 1961. In July 2013, rabies was confirmed among three wild ferret-badgers, prompting public health response to prevent human rabies cases. This descriptive study reports the immediate response to the reemergence of rabies in Taiwan. Response included enhanced surveillance for human rabies cases by testing stored cerebrospinal fluids (CSF) from patients with encephalitides of unknown cause by RT-PCR, prioritizing vaccine use for postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) during periods of vaccine shortage and subsequent expansion of PEP, surveillance of animal bites using information obtained from vaccine application, roll out of preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) with vaccine stock restoration, surveillance for adverse events following immunization (AEFI), and ensuring surge capacity to respond to general public inquiries by phone and training for healthcare professionals. Enhanced surveillance for human rabies found no cases after testing 205 stored CSF specimens collected during January 2010-July 2013. During July 16 to December 28, 2013, we received 8,241 rabies PEP application; 6,634 (80.5%) were consistent with recommendations. Among the 6,501 persons who received at least one dose of rabies vaccine postexposure, 4,953 (76.2%) persons who were bitten by dogs; only 59 (0.9%) persons were bitten by ferret-badgers. During the study period, 6,247 persons received preexposure prophylaxis. There were 23 reports of AEFI; but no anaphylaxis, Guillain-Barré syndrome, or acute disseminated encephalomyelitis were found. During the study period, there were 40,312 calls to the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control hotline, of which, 8,692 (22%) were related to rabies. Recent identification of rabies among ferret-badgers in a previously rabies-free country prompted rapid response. To date, no human rabies has been identified. Continued multifaceted surveillance and interministerial collaboration are crucial to achieve the goal of rabies-free status in Taiwan.

Prognostic factors for mortality in patients hospitalized with influenza complications, in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to assess factors associated with fatal hospitalized influenza with complications in Taiwan. METHODS: We identified reports of complications and illness onset in patients hospitalized with influenza between week 26, 2009 and week 25, 2012 from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System. We used a multivariate logistic regression model to evaluate covariates that can be associated with in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Among 4735 patients (413 deaths), age ≥50 years (p<0.001), male (p=0.014), comorbidities (p<0.001), and delayed oseltamivir treatment (p<0.001) increased the likelihood of in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: We recommend influenza vaccination and early antiviral treatment for at-risk populations.

Estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness using routine surveillance data among children aged 6-59 months for five consecutive influenza seasons.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to estimate the pooled vaccine effectiveness (VE) in children over five winters through data linkage of two existing surveillance systems. METHODS: Five test-negative case-control studies were conducted from November to February during the 2004/2005 to 2008/2009 seasons. Sentinel physicians from the Viral Surveillance Network enrolled children aged 6-59 months with influenza-like illness to collect throat swabs. Through linking with a nationwide vaccination registry, we measured the VE with a logistic regression model adjusting for age, gender, and week of symptom onset. Both fixed-effects and random-effects models were used in the meta-analysis. RESULTS: Four thousand four hundred and ninety-four subjects were included. The proportion of influenza test-positive subjects across the five seasons was 11.5% (132/1151), 7.2% (41/572), 23.9% (189/791), 6.6% (75/1135), and 11.2% (95/845), respectively. The pooled VE was 62% (95% confidence interval (CI) 48-83%) in both meta-analysis models. By age category, VE was 51% (95% CI 23-68%) for those aged 6-23 months and 75% (95% CI 60-84%) for those aged 24-59 months. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza vaccination provided measurable protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza among children aged 6-59 months despite variations in the vaccine match during the 2004/2005 to 2008/2009 influenza seasons in Taiwan.

Safety of inactivated monovalent pandemic (H1N1) 2009 vaccination during pregnancy: a population-based study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Pregnant women were prioritized for H1N1 vaccination during the 2009-2010 pandemic. Safety concerns exist with vaccinating pregnant women, particularly in their first trimesters. METHODS: We linked computerized data on H1N1 vaccination, National Health Insurance, and Taiwan Birth Registry and identified events of spontaneous abortions (SABs) and all singleton births that occurred/delivered during November 1, 2009-September 30, 2010. The observation period for each case of SAB (6-19 weeks gestation) was divided into period at risk (1-28 days after vaccination) and control periods (the remaining person-days until SAB). The self-controlled case series method for truncated observational periods assessed the incidence rate ratio (IRR) of SAB during the 1-28 days compared with those in the control period. The case-control design matched each case of adverse fetal outcomes to up to 10 controls on fetal sex and year/month of pregnancy onset, and calculated matched odds ratio (OR) on H1N1 vaccination at <14 or ≥14 weeks gestation. RESULTS: Sixty-five women with SAB had received H1N1 vaccination at 6-19 weeks gestation. The IRR of SAB for the risk period 1-28 days was 1.03 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.55-1.93). Among the 147,294 live births and 1354 stillbirths, maternal H1N1 vaccine receipt at <14 weeks gestation was associated with significantly reduced likelihood of small for gestational age (SGA) birth (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.61-0.84) and birth defect (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.22-1.00), whereas receipt at ≥14 weeks gestation was associated with significantly reduced likelihood of stillbirth (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.46-0.86), prematurity (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.83-0.97), low birth weight (OR 0.81, 95% CI 0.74-0.88), and SGA birth (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.84-0.97). CONCLUSIONS: H1N1 vaccination during pregnancy did not increase risk of SAB or adverse fetal outcomes.

Determinants of receiving the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 vaccine and intention to receive the seasonal influenza vaccine in Taiwan.

OBJECTIVES: The paper examines the factors associated with both receiving pandemic (H1N1) 2009 vaccines and individuals' intentions to get the next seasonal influenza vaccine in Taiwan. METHODS: We conducted a representative nationwide survey with in-person household interviews during April-July 2010. Multivariate logistic regression incorporated socio-demographic background, household characteristics, health status, behaviors, and perceptions of influenza and vaccination. RESULTS: We completed interviews with 1,954 respondents. Among those, 548 (28.0%) received the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 vaccination, and 469 (24.0%) intended to get the next seasonal influenza vaccine. Receipt of the H1N1 vaccine was more prevalent among schoolchildren, the elderly, those who had contact with more people in their daily lives, and those who had received influenza vaccinations in previous years. In comparison, the intention to receive the next seasonal influenza vaccine tended to be stronger among children, the elderly, and those who reported less healthy status or lived with children, who received a seasonal influenza vaccination before, and who worried more about a possible new pandemic. CONCLUSIONS: Children, the elderly, and those who had gotten seasonal flu shots before in Taiwan were more likely to both receive a pandemic H1N1 vaccination and intend to receive a seasonal influenza vaccine.

Impacts of a mass vaccination campaign against pandemic H1N1 2009 influenza in Taiwan: a time-series regression analysis.

OBJECTIVES: A multicenter, hospital-wide, clinical and epidemiological study was conducted to assess the effectiveness of the mass influenza vaccination program during the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic, and the impact of the prioritization strategy among people at different levels of risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among the 34 359 medically attended patients who displayed an influenza-like illness and had a rapid influenza diagnostic test (RIDT) at one of the three participating hospitals, 21.0% tested positive for influenza A. The highest daily number of RIDT-positive cases in each hospital ranged from 33 to 56. A well-fitted multiple linear regression time-series model (R(2)=0.89) showed that the establishment of special community flu clinics averted an average of nine cases daily (p=0.005), and an increment of 10% in daily mean level of population immunity against pH1N1 through vaccination prevented five cases daily (p<0.001). Moreover, the regression model predicted five-fold or more RIDT-positive cases if the mass influenza vaccination program had not been implemented, and 39.1% more RIDT-positive cases if older adults had been prioritized for vaccination above school-aged children. CONCLUSIONS: Mass influenza vaccination was an effective control measure, and school-aged children should be assigned a higher priority for vaccination than older adults during an influenza pandemic.

Exposure to secondhand smoke and risk of tuberculosis: prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Prospective evidence on the association between secondhand-smoke exposure and tuberculosis is limited. METHODS: We included 23,827 never smokers from two rounds (2001 and 2005) of Taiwan National Health Interview Survey. Information on exposure to secondhand smoke at home as well as other sociodemographic and behavioral factors was collected through in-person interview. The participants were prospectively followed for incidence of tuberculosis through cross-matching the survey database to the national tuberculosis registry of Taiwan. RESULTS: A total of 85 cases of active tuberculosis were identified after a median follow-up of 7.0 years. The prevalence of exposure to secondhand smoke at home was 41.8% in the study population. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, secondhand smoke was not associated with active tuberculosis (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.03; 95% CI, 0.64 to 1.64). In the subgroup analysis, the association between secondhand smoke and tuberculosis decreased with increasing age; the adjusted HR for those <18, > = 18 and <40, > = 40 and <60, and > = 60 years old was 8.48 (0.77 to 93.56), 2.29 (0.75 to 7.01), 1.33 (0.58 to 3.01), and 0.66 (0.35 to 1.23) respectively. Results from extensive sensitivity analyses suggested that potential misclassification of secondhand-smoke exposure would not substantially affect the observed associations. CONCLUSIONS: The results from this prospective cohort study did not support an overall association between secondhand smoke and tuberculosis. However, the finding that adolescents might be particularly susceptible to secondhand smoke's effect warrants further investigation.

Oseltamivir use and outcomes during the 2009 influenza A H1N1 pandemic in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: The Taiwan CDC provided free oseltamivir to all patients with influenza infections confirmed by rapid testing or who had clinical warning symptoms during the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Taiwan. However, oseltamivir utilization patterns, cost, and outcomes among oseltamivir-treated patients remained unclear. METHOD: A population-level, observational cohort study was conducted using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database from January to December 2009 to describe the use of oseltamivir. RESULT: Prescription trend over weeks increased after a change in government policy and responded to the influenza virus activity. The overall prescription rate was 22.33 per 1000 persons, with the highest prescription rate of 116.5 for those aged 7-12 years, followed by 69.0 for those aged 13-18 years, while the lowest rate was 1.7 for those aged ≥ 65 years. As influenza virus activity increased, the number of prescriptions for those aged ≤18 years rose significantly, whereas no substantial change was observed for those aged ≥65 years. There were also regional variations in terms of oseltamivir utilization and influenza complication rates. CONCLUSIONS: Oseltamivir was widely used in the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic in Taiwan, particularly in those aged 7-18 years. The number of prescriptions for oseltamivir increased with a change in government policy and with increasing cases of pandemic influenza. Further study is needed to examine whether there is an over- or under-use of anti-influenza drugs in different age groups or regions and to examine the current policy of public use of anti-influenza drugs to reduce influenza-associated morbidity and mortality.